First Win
Research
Each note is frozen against a versioned dataset before results are computed, and published with the tables behind it. Free to read, no account needed.
Interactive research
Predict the result before you see it.
Compare nine moneyline, spread and total questions across NFL and college markets, then generate a personal research receipt to share.
- Publication 001
Sharp lines. Tough returns.
The odds tracked results closely, but backing every side still lost money. The quick read, the return chart, and the full data.
- Publication 002
How accurate are NFL betting odds?
A five-season test of moneylines, spreads and totals around ten minutes before kickoff.
- Publication 003
How accurate are men’s college basketball betting odds?
A five-season test across the validated matched-game universe, with coverage limits and offered-price returns.
- Publication 004
How accurate are college football betting odds?
A five-season test across the validated matched-game universe, with coverage limits stated alongside the results.
First Win Pro
Every study above stays free to read.
Pro is the layer underneath: what each result rules out, where it breaks down, and what is worth investigating next.
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